Taurus Software and F. Curtis Barry & Company are partnering to provide a series of educational webinars to help executives and managers maximize productivity and efficiency in different areas of their business. We would like to invite you to join us for our Inventory best practices webinar! The details for this first webinar are below – simply click the link below and fill out the 1-minute form. A representative will email you the meeting login information. Space is limited, so sign-up today!

5 Critical Inventory Measurements for Running a More Profitable Business
Presented by:  Brian Barry, Sr. Consultant at F. Curtis Barry & Company

Description:
This FREE 30-minute webinar will cover the metrics and measurements critical to understanding inventory from a financial perspective. With inventory being one of the largest assets in most multichannel companies, effective and efficient use of inventory is a key success factor to driving profits in your business.
In this webinar, F. Curtis Barry & Company and Taurus Software will cover topics including:

  • Inventory aging and maximizing the investment
  • Inventory status and developing disciplined processes
  • Inventory turns
  • Gross margin return on investment and how to apply it in your company
  • Backorders and what they really cost your company

Webinar Date:
Wednesday, August 26th @ 2PM EST / 11AM PST

We look forward to your participation! Email sales@taurus.com with any questions.

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What Is Your Inventory Strategy For Christmas 2009?

by Paul Sobota on July 31, 2009

A few years ago I was in Australia in July and saw a lot of retailers advertising specials for “Christmas in July”; a novel idea as it is winter in the southern hemisphere at this time.  I have started seeing ads for layaways from Kmart and Hallmark debuting their Christmas ornament collection.  U.S. retailers are doing this for different reasons than our Aussie friends.

U.S. retailers are trying to stimulate sales now as merchandise is arriving in stores for Fall and back to school.  U.S. retailers don’t want to be burned like they were last year, so inventory levels will not be purchased anywhere to the extent that they were last year. 

According to Commerce department, inventories are down 8% through May from last year at this time.

Here is a sample of what our clients are saying about their Christmas inventory planning:

Hard Goods Catalog

Limited initial buying.  Going to read sales forecast after the catalog is in the field and then place larger re-orders.  Willing to sacrifice some early backorders to limit over inventory exposure.  We can not have excess inventory on hand at the end of December.  

Children’s Catalog

Ours is really business as usual, we have ramped up with a few more drop shippers than we have in the past, but we still continue to grow our import business and rely a little bit less each year on domestic shipments. 

Hobbyists

Just in time as much as possible and attempt to carry less inventory Holiday 2009 vs Holiday 2008.

Home Catalog

Our plan is flat with Holiday 2008 actual demand.  Less decorative and gift items, more focus on functional products which tend to carry over from campaign to campaign so a better exit strategy.  In addition, we are ordering within lead-times, thus closer to demand.  This has been a shift from the past when the need get your orders into the production cycle was critical.  Consequently, our open receipts are significantly down from last year and even budget.   We are finding that Chinese vendors, in particular, are turning orders very quickly.    

Inventory is the biggest balance sheet asset in most businesses.  Slow selling, discontinued and obsolete inventory can build up reducing inventory turns, cash flow and space in the distribution center. 

Will consumers have the deals they had last year?   I don’t think so. Scaled back inventory levels will sell out with fewer sales events leaving some consumers without much of a selection the closer we get to December. 

U.S. Retailers touting “Christmas in July” are looking for consumers to commit on electronic and large ticket items now while they may have a few extra dollars or through the utilization of layaways to secure there Christmas gifts.

Is your inventory at the right level for this Fall selling season?  Have you adopted the best practices for forecasting and managing inventory?  Have you implemented vendor compliance policies?  Do you need to upgrade your systems?

Contact us today to learn more about managing inventory profitably.

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Internal Scorecards for Merchants and Inventory Buyers

by Curt Barry, President, F. Curtis Barry & Company on July 30, 2009

Every day, companies evaluate a merchandise vendor’s performance against goals and their worth to the company through a vendor scorecard, such as:

  • How many backorders were caused by the vendor?
  • What are the gross sales for the vendor?
  • How many RTV’s or defective products for the vendor?
  • How many early deliveries and late deliveries for the vendor?
  • What is the overall net contribution to profit for the vendor after all expenses? 

But how often do you set the same goals and objectives for your merchants and inventory managers and create an internal scorecard?  Often times we find that companies have rigid standards for their vendors and goals in terms of margin and profit, but often times they don’t measure their staff in a similar way.  By not doing so, you leave the door open for problems that could erode your margin.

Develop a similar list of metrics that are important to your business.  Convey your goals to each person and measure the actual performance against their individual goals.  What are some that companies use?

  • Category sales
  • Gross margin and percent
  • Return percent
  • Cancellation percent
  • Adherence to vendor compliance
  • Turnover
  • Vendor coop
  • Net contribution to profit
  • “Markdowns”

Curt Barry is the President of F. Curtis Barry & Company, a multichannel operations and fulfillment consulting firm with expertise in multichannel systems, warehouse, call center, inventory, and benchmarking; learn more online at: http://www.fcbco.com.

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10 Principles to Sound Business Intelligence and KPI Application Development

by Curt Barry, President, F. Curtis Barry & Company on July 30, 2009

Companies these days are looking for every advantage to compete in this economy, and more and more are turning towards unlocking the secrets hidden in all of their data.  With so many different applications and databases used in multi channel businesses these days, the task can seem daunting.  Developing sophisticated Key Performance Indicator (KPI) and Business intelligence applications are not always easy or fast, but these principles should help lay the ground work.

  1.  Agree to a single version of the truth.  Executives should convey the strategies and objectives to top level managers and then agree on what will be measured and how it will be measured.  Agree to this and agree to the exact data and calculations so that once implemented, there is a single version of the truth that everyone is working from.
  2. Start with the areas that provide the low hanging fruit.  By starting in a single area of the business you can develop an application that will provide a high ROI without spending years developing an application without recognizing any of the benefits.
  3. The application must be user friendly.  This seems overly obvious, but you must remember that executives are typically not user of the various transactional systems – you need to bring them back in to the fold with regards to the data.  Develop quick snapshots and visual representations for the KPI’s and measurements so that executives can quickly see the status or health of the business.  Develop drill down capabilities and pivot tables for managers so that they can learn even more when things go awry. 
  4. Develop KPI alerts and notifications for when problems arise.  Stronger applications allow for highlighting or spotlighting problems in the KPI’s and pivot tables, as well as notifications via emails etc. that can be sent to assigned people or a group of people.
  5. For each of the metrics and KPI’s be sure that you can set a goal or a standard so the actual performance can be measured against these.  For instance, if you are not achieving your inventory turns goal you would be notified of the problems.  In the warehouse if your total throughput falls below a user defined variance you would be alerted to a potential problem.  By measuring actual against goals and standards your company will know where to improve processes.
  6. Be sure to include your plans.  You have plans in multiple systems, maybe your order management system, inventory systems, spreadsheets etc.  And you have them for multiple areas – inventory plans, merchandising plans, sales plans, and financial plans.  Be sure to bring all of these in to the application so that you can measure plan to actual.  The same is true with budgets – all of this will make the financial analysis of your business intelligence application more intuitive as well as the other areas.
  7. Agree on the source data.  Critical pieces of data can be found in numerous systems and in multiples places within the same system.  For example, the retail price for an item and its gross sales can often be found multiples times in multiple locations within most order management systems.  Once you have agreed on what will be measured and how it will be calculated, agree to which source application is best to multiple the required data from. 
  8. Develop personal pages.  Instead of forcing executives and users to wade through dozens of screens or modules to see the full health of the business, allow them to pick and choose what metrics are important to them and create a personal page with those metrics on them.  For instance, a vice president who overseas both the call center and fulfillment center may only want to see 3-4 metrics from each area at a high level, allow them to create their own page and change it as necessary.  They should still have access to the full blown application with drill down capabilities if they want to know more.
  9. Include all functional areas of the business.  The long term goal should be to develop an application that supports all areas of the business, from merchandising to finance and fro the call center to the warehouse.  All areas can benefit from a business intelligence application and KPI measurement.   In doing this, all levels of management will be able to see the overall health of the business and all are on board with the goals and objectives of the management team.
  10. Begin today, these types of applications can have a huge ROI if done right but they do take resources, time and capital to complete.  The longer you wait the longer it could be before you realize what secrets are locked in your data.

Curt Barry is the President of F. Curtis Barry & Company, a multichannel operations and fulfillment consulting firm with expertise in multichannel systems, warehouse, call center, inventory, and benchmarking; learn more online at: http://www.fcbco.com.

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When Should a Good Inventory Buy Be Avoided?

by Brian Barry, Senior Consultant, F. Curtis Barry & Company on July 23, 2009

You might be asking yourself – if it is a good inventory buy, how could it be bad?  First, let’s take a look at several aspects.  Companies have always been aggressive with squeezing every margin dollar they could, even more so in this economy.  And in order to do this, many have looked overseas to foreign manufacturers as ways of increasing the potential margin.  The downsides include typically larger minimums from manufacturers, in addition to cubing out shipping containers for maximum efficiency, and very long lead times. 

Let’s take a look at how some of this can make what seems like a good inventory buy a bad buy.  A while back we worked with a company that imported a specific merchandise category from an Asian manufacturer.  The lead time for these products was 8-9 months.  By doing this, they were able to go from an average gross margin of 44% to 55% with an average price point of $51. 

Recently they made a purchase from the same manufacturer which allowed them to go from a 55% gross margin to 60% gross margin – or go from $28.05 in gross margin dollars to $30.60.  The downside was a substantial increase in the vendor minimum and a much shorter set of payment terms.  But still it seemed like a good buy, and they felt like they could sell through the extra quantity.

The reality of the situation was that the quantity purchased turned out to be a 15-month supply of inventory, causing several problems which made this a very unprofitable buy.  Here’s how:

  1. A 15-month supply of inventory equates to less than .8 turns annually.
  2. With a 60% gross margin and .8 turns annually, the gross margin return on investment (GMROI) is 0.48; in laymen’s terms this means for every dollar they invested in inventory purchases, the income is less than $0.48.  This is devastating to the business.  You can calculate GMROI by multiplying the decimal equivalent of your gross margin (50% = .50) times your annual turns. 
  3. The increase in inventory levels and the length of time the product was warehoused caused several issues.  First, the warehouse was running close to capacity and this prolonged the pain of running low on warehouse space.  Second, the gross margin was further eroded by the inventory carrying costs – the longer it sat, the longer the margin was eroded.
  4. Most importantly, the company tied up much more cash in inventory then they should have. By not turning the inventory quickly, a significant portion of the inventory will need to be liquidated in order to free-up cash and invest in other items.  Fifteen (15) months is a long time when you need to continually refresh the product mix with new products.  The liquidation will further erode the gross margin.
  5. Not only did this tie up more cash than they should have but they had to pay the vendor even faster than normal.

These factors come into play and can make what seems like a good buy a very bad decision.  Having to carry more inventory, invest more cash in inventory and pay the vendor in even shorter terms will lead to several problems.  You should stick to a well disciplined buying and inventory strategy and run all the numbers before deciding whether or not it is a good buy.  If the numbers work out then consider making the investment in inventory. But don’t erode the increase in gross margin with higher shipping costs, higher inventory carrying costs, and then ending up liquidating a large portion of the inventory.

Brian Barry is a Senior Consultant with F. Curtis Barry & Company, a multichannel operations and fulfillment consulting firm with expertise in multichannel systems, warehouse, call center, inventory, and benchmarking; learn more online at: http://www.fcbco.com.

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Merchandising and Cost of Backorders

by Brian Barry, Senior Consultant, F. Curtis Barry & Company on July 20, 2009

The other day, we worked for a mid-sized gift marketer to have them analyze their spring book and web campaigns from a price range perspective.  They had never done this and were surprised to find that 39% of their stock-keeping units (SKU’s) were $25 and under – the average price point in this group was actually $11.15.  This group of SKU’s represented 32% of the gross sales but only had a 44% gross margin, which meant that on average they were only earning $4.91 per SKU.  After allocating marketing expenses, operational costs and general and administrative costs: each of these SKU’s lost over $10.00 each time they were ordered.  What made the situation worse is that this price point also represented around 59% of the total backorders.  With their cost of processing a backordered unit being around $12, this made the loss even greater – more like $22.

This company is now working to develop a strategic merchandise plan to improve the average price points over time.  This is something that cannot be done overnight, or you will alienate the existing customer base.  In addition, they have opted to avoid taking backorders on low dollar and low margin products to avoid the additional costs.  You can decide if the items are essential to customer service to order larger quantities.

It is extremely important for companies to analyze merchandising results, taking into account not only whether or not an item covered the marketing expense, but also the cost to take and process orders and the general and administrative expenses.  By doing this, you essentially create a Profit and Loss (P&L) at the item level as well as the sub-category and category level.  This allows you to truly understand what your best sellers are and whether or not they are delivering positive dollars to the bottom line.  Use this same model of analyzing profitability and sort the products by price ranges and I am sure you will find some interesting trends.  Review this on a regular basis and make changes accordingly.

Brian Barry is a Senior Consultant with F. Curtis Barry & Company, a multichannel operations and fulfillment consulting firm with expertise in multichannel systems, warehouse, call center, inventory, and benchmarking; learn more online at: http://www.fcbco.com.

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Inventory Turns and Age of Inventory

by Brian Barry, Senior Consultant, F. Curtis Barry & Company on July 16, 2009

In working with a client the other day, we were analyzing several inventory Key Performance Indicators (KPI’s).  Their goal was to turn the inventory at least 4 times annually, up from the 3.15 turns they are doing today.  We then talked about how long they carried inventory before they deemed it to be “aged”, or beginning to get old.  Their response to this question was 20 weeks. 

This is a classic example of where most small to mid-size companies are from an inventory management perspective and using KPI’s.  In the above case, by choosing to focus in on inventory as it hits 20 weeks on the average and older, you are really aiming to only do 2.6 turns annually.  Take 52 weeks in a year and divide it by the age in weeks that you deem “aged”, in this case 20 weeks and you get 2.6 turns annually. 

In order for this client to be hitting 4 turns annually, they need to be concerned with inventory as it hits 11-13 weeks in age, and develop a strategy to move the inventory to achieve their goals.  It is important for companies to develop the long term strategies followed up by the actions or tactics to achieve those goals.  It is also important to understand the goals, agree to how they will be measured and report on them regularly.

Brian Barry is a Senior Consultant with F. Curtis Barry & Company, a multichannel operations and fulfillment consulting firm with expertise in multichannel systems, warehouse, call center, inventory, and benchmarking; learn more online at: http://www.fcbco.com.

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Establish Correct Data Relationships

by Curt Barry, President, F. Curtis Barry & Company on June 29, 2009

As I was working with a client last week on implementing our Business Intelligence (BI) tool, Manage Metrix, I was reminded of a fundamental truth:

Establish the proper data relationships so that you don’t come to incorrect conclusions or erroneous relationships. 

Let me give you an example.  In a multichannel business that has catalog and e-commerce, at a high level, the Internet channel may receive 50% or more of the sales.  But without getting behind the numbers, we don’t really know the “sales drivers”.  Here’s what I mean by sales drivers:

  • What portion of the sales resulted because the new catalog was active and the customer used the Internet as a convenience? 
  • How many sales came from affiliate marketing? 
  • How many from paid versus organic search, etc.?   

When we measure the click stream data and understand this better, are we measuring and giving credit to the catalog in an accurate way?  If we don’t measure this correctly, we might conclude that the catalog  – with its high costs - is not worth the expense.  And if you discontinued the catalog, you might also suffer the decline in sales that the catalog represents to your total business.

In my opinion, the BI team has to have a lot of strategic experience to set up those proper relationships in order to help grow the business and find new directions in those data “tea leaves”.

Curt Barry is the President of F. Curtis Barry & Company, a multichannel operations and fulfillment consulting firm with expertise in multichannel systems, warehouse, call center, inventory, and benchmarking; learn more online at: http://www.fcbco.com.

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E-Commerce Promotion ROI

by Curt Barry, President, F. Curtis Barry & Company on May 13, 2009

Historically, the catalog industry has measured the response rate for various promotions, the advertising cost of the promotion and its breakeven based on demand, product cost, etc.  Along comes the e-commerce world and many of the new promotional methods (such as e-mail, affiliate programs, etc.) are apparently not being measured.  

At the same time, companies that were traditionally catalog oriented are spending 25% to 35% of sales for catalog advertising costs to create, print and mail catalogs.  On the other hand, while the e-commerce programs are much cheaper, our research shows they are spending 2% to 15% of net sales on e-commerce promotions.

The problem today is that the e-commerce costs are additive, incrementally.  It’s not an offset to the catalog costs.  And at the same time, businesses have not been able to decrease catalog costs or eliminate the catalog without severely cutting sales.

How are you measuring your e-commerce promotions in terms of advertising and breakeven? 

Curt Barry is the President of F. Curtis Barry & Company, a multichannel operations and fulfillment consulting firm with expertise in multichannel systems, warehouse, call center, inventory, and benchmarking; learn more online at: http://www.fcbco.com.

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Executive Dashboards Across the Enterprise

by Curt Barry, President, F. Curtis Barry & Company on April 29, 2009

If I were to ask “what is the biggest problem faced by your multichannel company today?” I’m sure you would have a lot of ready answers.  But when it comes to the biggest business information problem you face, there is one that stands head and shoulders above the rest: finding a “single version of the truth.”  Just as you have multiple channels for dealing with customers, you have multiple systems with numerous, and differing, occurrences of key data and metrics.  Many companies have grown up selecting best-of-breed systems for order management, fulfillment, call center, marketing, product information, inventory, finance and e-commerce.  Companies with large-scale multichannel systems are often surprised to learn that their problem is even worse, because these “systems” are, in reality, multiple individual applications.  That’s because no one vendor in the marketplace today can provide more than two of the best-of-breed components needed, and the reality is that even most ERP systems available to the direct marketplace don’t provide specialized direct, retail or warehouse management functions that are as good as best-of-breed.

The result of all these silos of information is that no one system provides more than 10 percent of the data needed by senior management.  Management has to go to extremes to get what they need, either by requesting that department managers pull data or by using business analysts to come up with reporting.  Because these are manual efforts using sources not originally geared to management’s needs, they are delay-riddled, error-prone processes.  Valuable productivity and service data exists in systems such as telephone switches (ACDs), but management usually doesn’t have access to it.  Worst of all, data often doesn’t reconcile from one information system to another; with database structures that can span 25 years of systems development, built upon different programming languages, they still don’t deliver a “single version of the truth.”  Management faces the question:  On which version of the data should you base your decisions?

Enter the Dashboard

Business intelligence (BI) solutions with dashboards and analytics are now becoming available that can potentially solve this problem.  By pulling standardized data from systems across the enterprise, they open up tremendous possibilities for management to sharpen critical decision-making.  More than just extracting data, such solutions allow management at various levels to set up actionable Key Performance Indicator (KPI) alerts that act as a dashboard for the business.  For the first time, management has complete access to data across all systems in the enterprise-and senior management can keep informed about results on a real-time basis.  Such business intelligence/dashboard/executive analytic tools not only provide a consistent view of all the data, but permit managers to set up alerts keyed to specific objectives, and allow each department to look at the segment of data that is meaningful to them. 

Think for a minute, what data do you want to gain access to across your business?  What information do you, as a member of senior management, need to run the business?  Figure [1], Defining Your Personal Dashboard and Analytics, shows how a company president in one of our client companies interpreted what she wanted, seeing what the benefits and data could be.  When you look at this menu, you can see that much of what is included isn’t found in any one information system-and a number of these analyses and Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) are created by including data mixed and matched between information systems.

Many Views, One Set of Data

Whether they’re analyzing inventory levels or fill rates, demand or sales, the new BI tools ensure all departments are utilizing a standardized view of the same data.  Such business intelligence solutions also allow users to take cuts of the data and compare them in multiple ways, including this year to last year or actual to plan, as well as to reassemble the data and analyze it from one department to another.  Each department needs to maintain their own way of analyzing data, but also be able to bring their plans and results together in a consistent, uniform way.

Here’s an example of an advantage provided by the access to uniform data these business intelligence solutions allow.  Merchandising, Marketing and Inventory Control may have different information needs during the product and promotion life cycle, but they all revolve around gross demand planning and results.  Merchandising wants to know the quantity of each product that is needed across all promotions-print, electronic and store.  Marketing arrives at the catalog gross demand plan based on their circulation plans by drop, by house file, and by outside list segment. Merchandising’s catalog pre-season plans are built top-down by merchandise category, and bottom-up by product-but they should come close to tying together with Marketing’s demand plans at the demand level.  It’s Inventory Control’s job to interpret the plans and selling results and purchase product far enough in advance to be in stock when customers order.  However, management allows Inventory Control to purchase more product than the demand plans indicate, based on vendor lead time, vendor discounts offered, etc.-so they aren’t going to tie back to the others’ plans exactly.

Week-for-week, one of the hardest things to do is read selling trends and interpret them in a way that allows you to make the right decisions-which ultimately provide the base line projections for yet other departments, such as Call Center and Fulfillment.  You can see that with the many different versions of plans and results used by these various departments, management needs to find a common source of information.  In this instance, gross demand data ties all the planning and results together.  BI solutions that can pull this common data out of all the departments’ databases can then provide accurate KPIs, viewable as executive dashboards.

Taking Stock

For an even more specific example, let’s look at inventory data.  Inventory is the largest balance sheet asset in most multichannel businesses; its effective management largely determines your level of customer service and profit.  If management had the ability to easily analyze some key inventory conditions, here are some of the ways they could benefit:

Inventory aging.  Keep track of age of inventory across the business and by product/SKU for various inventory statuses (active, inactive, future and return to vendor) by warehouse and by inventory control manager.  One of our clients found that 30% of their inventory was older than 12 months.  Having access to this view allows top management to continually stay on top of products that are not selling.  Merchants can regularly schedule liquidation of overstocks and slow-selling merchandise.

Inventory carrying costs.  Provides costs of maintaining inventory in the company’s warehouse, including rent, utilities, insurance, taxes, fulfillment labor costs and the opportunity cost of tied-up capital.  While inventory control applications have the on-hand quantity and dollars, financial management may want to develop a fully burdened cost for the inventory to more accurately reflect performance.

Gross margin return on investment (GMROI).  This can be split out by category, product and inventory control manager.  GMROI analyzes a firm’s ability to turn inventory into cash above the cost of the inventory.  It is calculated by dividing the gross margin by the average inventory cost.

Customer service measured with fill rates.  Analysis can be provided for initial item and initial customer order fill rates, and final item and final customer order fill rates, by category and product.  Many companies measure back orders daily, but they don’t measure how well customers are being serviced-in other words, what percent of orders are shipped complete.  We find the initial customer order fill rate to be 10 points lower than the line item fill rate in many businesses.  For example, a fashion apparel business may have a difficult time achieving an initial order fill rate above 70% because of the newness of a style and the inability to reorder.  However, a home décor business can achieve an order fill rate of 85% or higher.

Back order cost analysis.  Identifies the total cost of being out of stock, both by products and categories creating the biggest issues and expenses.  The cost analysis takes into account the total back order history by product for costs such as call center (“Where is my back order?”), second order picks and packing material, loss of shipping and processing revenue, etc.  Most companies report back orders daily, but there are few systems that keep track of cumulative back order costs by product throughout the year.  Our studies in hundreds of companies show that back ordered merchandise costs $7 to $12 for each backordered unit of product.

Are They Worth It?

Can the expenditure for this kind of solution be justified in today’s economic climate?  It may be useful to ask the opposite question:  What’s the cost of not having timely and accurate information to manage and control your business?  Especially in this economy, knowing exactly where you stand is essential.  You can only control expenses and inventory and know which products and promotions are working-and which aren’t-if you have accurate data on which everybody across the company can agree.  An old axiom says, “You can’t improve something you haven’t measured.”  To that we might add, even if you have measured it, you still can’t improve something if you can’t get accurate readings, or if you have multiple measurements that don’t agree. 

There are great benefits to the organization when data can be shared across the enterprise and used for department analysis.  One of the biggest benefits executive dashboards provide is the ability to get back in touch with the business from an analytical perspective.  KPIs can easily be set up and changed to monitor performance in your areas of responsibility, with instant access to all the most important data needed to make decisions.  In our experience, companies that used such BI solutions to overcome information problems have been successful in getting a positive ROI from these types of systems within 12 to 18 months.  And in today’s business environment, that’s a “single version of the truth” on which we think everyone can agree.

Curt Barry is the President of F. Curtis Barry & Company, a multichannel operations and fulfillment consulting firm with expertise in multichannel systems, warehouse, call center, inventory, and benchmarking; learn more online at: http://www.fcbco.com.

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