When Should a Good Inventory Buy Be Avoided?

by Brian Barry, Senior Consultant, F. Curtis Barry & Company on July 23, 2009

You might be asking yourself – if it is a good inventory buy, how could it be bad?  First, let’s take a look at several aspects.  Companies have always been aggressive with squeezing every margin dollar they could, even more so in this economy.  And in order to do this, many have looked overseas to foreign manufacturers as ways of increasing the potential margin.  The downsides include typically larger minimums from manufacturers, in addition to cubing out shipping containers for maximum efficiency, and very long lead times. 

Let’s take a look at how some of this can make what seems like a good inventory buy a bad buy.  A while back we worked with a company that imported a specific merchandise category from an Asian manufacturer.  The lead time for these products was 8-9 months.  By doing this, they were able to go from an average gross margin of 44% to 55% with an average price point of $51. 

Recently they made a purchase from the same manufacturer which allowed them to go from a 55% gross margin to 60% gross margin – or go from $28.05 in gross margin dollars to $30.60.  The downside was a substantial increase in the vendor minimum and a much shorter set of payment terms.  But still it seemed like a good buy, and they felt like they could sell through the extra quantity.

The reality of the situation was that the quantity purchased turned out to be a 15-month supply of inventory, causing several problems which made this a very unprofitable buy.  Here’s how:

  1. A 15-month supply of inventory equates to less than .8 turns annually.
  2. With a 60% gross margin and .8 turns annually, the gross margin return on investment (GMROI) is 0.48; in laymen’s terms this means for every dollar they invested in inventory purchases, the income is less than $0.48.  This is devastating to the business.  You can calculate GMROI by multiplying the decimal equivalent of your gross margin (50% = .50) times your annual turns. 
  3. The increase in inventory levels and the length of time the product was warehoused caused several issues.  First, the warehouse was running close to capacity and this prolonged the pain of running low on warehouse space.  Second, the gross margin was further eroded by the inventory carrying costs – the longer it sat, the longer the margin was eroded.
  4. Most importantly, the company tied up much more cash in inventory then they should have. By not turning the inventory quickly, a significant portion of the inventory will need to be liquidated in order to free-up cash and invest in other items.  Fifteen (15) months is a long time when you need to continually refresh the product mix with new products.  The liquidation will further erode the gross margin.
  5. Not only did this tie up more cash than they should have but they had to pay the vendor even faster than normal.

These factors come into play and can make what seems like a good buy a very bad decision.  Having to carry more inventory, invest more cash in inventory and pay the vendor in even shorter terms will lead to several problems.  You should stick to a well disciplined buying and inventory strategy and run all the numbers before deciding whether or not it is a good buy.  If the numbers work out then consider making the investment in inventory. But don’t erode the increase in gross margin with higher shipping costs, higher inventory carrying costs, and then ending up liquidating a large portion of the inventory.

Brian Barry is a Senior Consultant with F. Curtis Barry & Company, a multichannel operations and fulfillment consulting firm with expertise in multichannel systems, warehouse, call center, inventory, and benchmarking; learn more online at: http://www.fcbco.com.

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Merchandising and Cost of Backorders

by Brian Barry, Senior Consultant, F. Curtis Barry & Company on July 20, 2009

The other day, we worked for a mid-sized gift marketer to have them analyze their spring book and web campaigns from a price range perspective.  They had never done this and were surprised to find that 39% of their stock-keeping units (SKU’s) were $25 and under – the average price point in this group was actually $11.15.  This group of SKU’s represented 32% of the gross sales but only had a 44% gross margin, which meant that on average they were only earning $4.91 per SKU.  After allocating marketing expenses, operational costs and general and administrative costs: each of these SKU’s lost over $10.00 each time they were ordered.  What made the situation worse is that this price point also represented around 59% of the total backorders.  With their cost of processing a backordered unit being around $12, this made the loss even greater – more like $22.

This company is now working to develop a strategic merchandise plan to improve the average price points over time.  This is something that cannot be done overnight, or you will alienate the existing customer base.  In addition, they have opted to avoid taking backorders on low dollar and low margin products to avoid the additional costs.  You can decide if the items are essential to customer service to order larger quantities.

It is extremely important for companies to analyze merchandising results, taking into account not only whether or not an item covered the marketing expense, but also the cost to take and process orders and the general and administrative expenses.  By doing this, you essentially create a Profit and Loss (P&L) at the item level as well as the sub-category and category level.  This allows you to truly understand what your best sellers are and whether or not they are delivering positive dollars to the bottom line.  Use this same model of analyzing profitability and sort the products by price ranges and I am sure you will find some interesting trends.  Review this on a regular basis and make changes accordingly.

Brian Barry is a Senior Consultant with F. Curtis Barry & Company, a multichannel operations and fulfillment consulting firm with expertise in multichannel systems, warehouse, call center, inventory, and benchmarking; learn more online at: http://www.fcbco.com.

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Inventory Turns and Age of Inventory

by Brian Barry, Senior Consultant, F. Curtis Barry & Company on July 16, 2009

In working with a client the other day, we were analyzing several inventory Key Performance Indicators (KPI’s).  Their goal was to turn the inventory at least 4 times annually, up from the 3.15 turns they are doing today.  We then talked about how long they carried inventory before they deemed it to be “aged”, or beginning to get old.  Their response to this question was 20 weeks. 

This is a classic example of where most small to mid-size companies are from an inventory management perspective and using KPI’s.  In the above case, by choosing to focus in on inventory as it hits 20 weeks on the average and older, you are really aiming to only do 2.6 turns annually.  Take 52 weeks in a year and divide it by the age in weeks that you deem “aged”, in this case 20 weeks and you get 2.6 turns annually. 

In order for this client to be hitting 4 turns annually, they need to be concerned with inventory as it hits 11-13 weeks in age, and develop a strategy to move the inventory to achieve their goals.  It is important for companies to develop the long term strategies followed up by the actions or tactics to achieve those goals.  It is also important to understand the goals, agree to how they will be measured and report on them regularly.

Brian Barry is a Senior Consultant with F. Curtis Barry & Company, a multichannel operations and fulfillment consulting firm with expertise in multichannel systems, warehouse, call center, inventory, and benchmarking; learn more online at: http://www.fcbco.com.

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Establish Correct Data Relationships

by Curt Barry, President, F. Curtis Barry & Company on June 29, 2009

As I was working with a client last week on implementing our Business Intelligence (BI) tool, Manage Metrix, I was reminded of a fundamental truth:

Establish the proper data relationships so that you don’t come to incorrect conclusions or erroneous relationships. 

Let me give you an example.  In a multichannel business that has catalog and e-commerce, at a high level, the Internet channel may receive 50% or more of the sales.  But without getting behind the numbers, we don’t really know the “sales drivers”.  Here’s what I mean by sales drivers:

  • What portion of the sales resulted because the new catalog was active and the customer used the Internet as a convenience? 
  • How many sales came from affiliate marketing? 
  • How many from paid versus organic search, etc.?   

When we measure the click stream data and understand this better, are we measuring and giving credit to the catalog in an accurate way?  If we don’t measure this correctly, we might conclude that the catalog  – with its high costs - is not worth the expense.  And if you discontinued the catalog, you might also suffer the decline in sales that the catalog represents to your total business.

In my opinion, the BI team has to have a lot of strategic experience to set up those proper relationships in order to help grow the business and find new directions in those data “tea leaves”.

Curt Barry is the President of F. Curtis Barry & Company, a multichannel operations and fulfillment consulting firm with expertise in multichannel systems, warehouse, call center, inventory, and benchmarking; learn more online at: http://www.fcbco.com.

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E-Commerce Promotion ROI

by Curt Barry, President, F. Curtis Barry & Company on May 13, 2009

Historically, the catalog industry has measured the response rate for various promotions, the advertising cost of the promotion and its breakeven based on demand, product cost, etc.  Along comes the e-commerce world and many of the new promotional methods (such as e-mail, affiliate programs, etc.) are apparently not being measured.  

At the same time, companies that were traditionally catalog oriented are spending 25% to 35% of sales for catalog advertising costs to create, print and mail catalogs.  On the other hand, while the e-commerce programs are much cheaper, our research shows they are spending 2% to 15% of net sales on e-commerce promotions.

The problem today is that the e-commerce costs are additive, incrementally.  It’s not an offset to the catalog costs.  And at the same time, businesses have not been able to decrease catalog costs or eliminate the catalog without severely cutting sales.

How are you measuring your e-commerce promotions in terms of advertising and breakeven? 

Curt Barry is the President of F. Curtis Barry & Company, a multichannel operations and fulfillment consulting firm with expertise in multichannel systems, warehouse, call center, inventory, and benchmarking; learn more online at: http://www.fcbco.com.

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Executive Dashboards Across the Enterprise

by Curt Barry, President, F. Curtis Barry & Company on April 29, 2009

If I were to ask “what is the biggest problem faced by your multichannel company today?” I’m sure you would have a lot of ready answers.  But when it comes to the biggest business information problem you face, there is one that stands head and shoulders above the rest: finding a “single version of the truth.”  Just as you have multiple channels for dealing with customers, you have multiple systems with numerous, and differing, occurrences of key data and metrics.  Many companies have grown up selecting best-of-breed systems for order management, fulfillment, call center, marketing, product information, inventory, finance and e-commerce.  Companies with large-scale multichannel systems are often surprised to learn that their problem is even worse, because these “systems” are, in reality, multiple individual applications.  That’s because no one vendor in the marketplace today can provide more than two of the best-of-breed components needed, and the reality is that even most ERP systems available to the direct marketplace don’t provide specialized direct, retail or warehouse management functions that are as good as best-of-breed.

The result of all these silos of information is that no one system provides more than 10 percent of the data needed by senior management.  Management has to go to extremes to get what they need, either by requesting that department managers pull data or by using business analysts to come up with reporting.  Because these are manual efforts using sources not originally geared to management’s needs, they are delay-riddled, error-prone processes.  Valuable productivity and service data exists in systems such as telephone switches (ACDs), but management usually doesn’t have access to it.  Worst of all, data often doesn’t reconcile from one information system to another; with database structures that can span 25 years of systems development, built upon different programming languages, they still don’t deliver a “single version of the truth.”  Management faces the question:  On which version of the data should you base your decisions?

Enter the Dashboard

Business intelligence (BI) solutions with dashboards and analytics are now becoming available that can potentially solve this problem.  By pulling standardized data from systems across the enterprise, they open up tremendous possibilities for management to sharpen critical decision-making.  More than just extracting data, such solutions allow management at various levels to set up actionable Key Performance Indicator (KPI) alerts that act as a dashboard for the business.  For the first time, management has complete access to data across all systems in the enterprise-and senior management can keep informed about results on a real-time basis.  Such business intelligence/dashboard/executive analytic tools not only provide a consistent view of all the data, but permit managers to set up alerts keyed to specific objectives, and allow each department to look at the segment of data that is meaningful to them. 

Think for a minute, what data do you want to gain access to across your business?  What information do you, as a member of senior management, need to run the business?  Figure [1], Defining Your Personal Dashboard and Analytics, shows how a company president in one of our client companies interpreted what she wanted, seeing what the benefits and data could be.  When you look at this menu, you can see that much of what is included isn’t found in any one information system-and a number of these analyses and Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) are created by including data mixed and matched between information systems.

Many Views, One Set of Data

Whether they’re analyzing inventory levels or fill rates, demand or sales, the new BI tools ensure all departments are utilizing a standardized view of the same data.  Such business intelligence solutions also allow users to take cuts of the data and compare them in multiple ways, including this year to last year or actual to plan, as well as to reassemble the data and analyze it from one department to another.  Each department needs to maintain their own way of analyzing data, but also be able to bring their plans and results together in a consistent, uniform way.

Here’s an example of an advantage provided by the access to uniform data these business intelligence solutions allow.  Merchandising, Marketing and Inventory Control may have different information needs during the product and promotion life cycle, but they all revolve around gross demand planning and results.  Merchandising wants to know the quantity of each product that is needed across all promotions-print, electronic and store.  Marketing arrives at the catalog gross demand plan based on their circulation plans by drop, by house file, and by outside list segment. Merchandising’s catalog pre-season plans are built top-down by merchandise category, and bottom-up by product-but they should come close to tying together with Marketing’s demand plans at the demand level.  It’s Inventory Control’s job to interpret the plans and selling results and purchase product far enough in advance to be in stock when customers order.  However, management allows Inventory Control to purchase more product than the demand plans indicate, based on vendor lead time, vendor discounts offered, etc.-so they aren’t going to tie back to the others’ plans exactly.

Week-for-week, one of the hardest things to do is read selling trends and interpret them in a way that allows you to make the right decisions-which ultimately provide the base line projections for yet other departments, such as Call Center and Fulfillment.  You can see that with the many different versions of plans and results used by these various departments, management needs to find a common source of information.  In this instance, gross demand data ties all the planning and results together.  BI solutions that can pull this common data out of all the departments’ databases can then provide accurate KPIs, viewable as executive dashboards.

Taking Stock

For an even more specific example, let’s look at inventory data.  Inventory is the largest balance sheet asset in most multichannel businesses; its effective management largely determines your level of customer service and profit.  If management had the ability to easily analyze some key inventory conditions, here are some of the ways they could benefit:

Inventory aging.  Keep track of age of inventory across the business and by product/SKU for various inventory statuses (active, inactive, future and return to vendor) by warehouse and by inventory control manager.  One of our clients found that 30% of their inventory was older than 12 months.  Having access to this view allows top management to continually stay on top of products that are not selling.  Merchants can regularly schedule liquidation of overstocks and slow-selling merchandise.

Inventory carrying costs.  Provides costs of maintaining inventory in the company’s warehouse, including rent, utilities, insurance, taxes, fulfillment labor costs and the opportunity cost of tied-up capital.  While inventory control applications have the on-hand quantity and dollars, financial management may want to develop a fully burdened cost for the inventory to more accurately reflect performance.

Gross margin return on investment (GMROI).  This can be split out by category, product and inventory control manager.  GMROI analyzes a firm’s ability to turn inventory into cash above the cost of the inventory.  It is calculated by dividing the gross margin by the average inventory cost.

Customer service measured with fill rates.  Analysis can be provided for initial item and initial customer order fill rates, and final item and final customer order fill rates, by category and product.  Many companies measure back orders daily, but they don’t measure how well customers are being serviced-in other words, what percent of orders are shipped complete.  We find the initial customer order fill rate to be 10 points lower than the line item fill rate in many businesses.  For example, a fashion apparel business may have a difficult time achieving an initial order fill rate above 70% because of the newness of a style and the inability to reorder.  However, a home décor business can achieve an order fill rate of 85% or higher.

Back order cost analysis.  Identifies the total cost of being out of stock, both by products and categories creating the biggest issues and expenses.  The cost analysis takes into account the total back order history by product for costs such as call center (“Where is my back order?”), second order picks and packing material, loss of shipping and processing revenue, etc.  Most companies report back orders daily, but there are few systems that keep track of cumulative back order costs by product throughout the year.  Our studies in hundreds of companies show that back ordered merchandise costs $7 to $12 for each backordered unit of product.

Are They Worth It?

Can the expenditure for this kind of solution be justified in today’s economic climate?  It may be useful to ask the opposite question:  What’s the cost of not having timely and accurate information to manage and control your business?  Especially in this economy, knowing exactly where you stand is essential.  You can only control expenses and inventory and know which products and promotions are working-and which aren’t-if you have accurate data on which everybody across the company can agree.  An old axiom says, “You can’t improve something you haven’t measured.”  To that we might add, even if you have measured it, you still can’t improve something if you can’t get accurate readings, or if you have multiple measurements that don’t agree. 

There are great benefits to the organization when data can be shared across the enterprise and used for department analysis.  One of the biggest benefits executive dashboards provide is the ability to get back in touch with the business from an analytical perspective.  KPIs can easily be set up and changed to monitor performance in your areas of responsibility, with instant access to all the most important data needed to make decisions.  In our experience, companies that used such BI solutions to overcome information problems have been successful in getting a positive ROI from these types of systems within 12 to 18 months.  And in today’s business environment, that’s a “single version of the truth” on which we think everyone can agree.

Curt Barry is the President of F. Curtis Barry & Company, a multichannel operations and fulfillment consulting firm with expertise in multichannel systems, warehouse, call center, inventory, and benchmarking; learn more online at: http://www.fcbco.com.

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Marketing, Merchandising, Inventory Control: Gaining a Single Version of the Truth

by Brian Barry, Senior Consultant, F. Curtis Barry & Company on March 26, 2009

I was sitting in a client meeting for business intelligence (BI) and dashboard planning this past week, and the Merchandising, Marketing and Inventory Control people were squaring off over why Merchandising’s results never tie back to Marketing and Inventory Control.  Some of it was argumentative, but when you step back and look at it objectively, it shows why business intelligence and executive analytics have such great promise for the retail and direct industries.

At every step in the product and promotion life cycle, these three departments’ needs are different – but at the same time they all revolve around gross demand planning and results.  (By “life cycle” I’m talking about the Marketing side of planning a campaign, re-forecasting results once the initial demand is in, and then potentially re-projecting after half the campaign when the majority of sales are in.)

Merchandising’s needs are about the pre-season merchandise plan or the continual planning for the e-commerce site; the forecasting by catalog drop; and the end of the season.  What quantity of each product is needed across all promotions-print, e-commerce and store?

The thing that ties these three departments’ planning and results efforts together is gross demand data.  Marketing arrives at the catalog gross demand plan based on their circulation plans by drop, by house file, and by outside list segment.  They also must think through all the digital media in which specific products are featured – website home pages, e-mail, affiliate campaigns, etc. – and give some direction to Merchandising and Inventory Control.

Ideally, Merchandising’s catalog pre-season plans are built top-down by merchandise category, and bottom-up by product.  But they should come close to tying together with Marketing’s demand plans at the demand level. 

Then we have Inventory Control.  It’s their job to interpret the plans and selling results and purchase product far enough in advance to be in stock when customers order.  From an inventory perspective, the Inventory Control plans aren’t going to tie back to the others’ plans exactly.  Management allows Inventory Control to purchase more product than the demand plans indicate, based on vendor lead time, vendor discounts offered, etc. 

Week-for-week, one of the hardest things to do is read selling trends and interpret them in a way that allows you to make the right decisions – which ultimately provide the base line projections for yet other departments, such as Call Center and Fulfillment.  Yet from an uninitiated perspective, it looks like a free-for-all, with many different versions of plans and results. 

How can business intelligence (BI), dashboard and executive analytic tools help with this critical decision-making?  They can provide a consistent view of all the data, so that whether they’re analyzing demand or sales, all departments are utilizing a standardized view of the same data.  This allows each department to look at the segment of data that is meaningful to them.  Business Intelligence solutions allow users to take cuts of the data and compare them in multiple ways, whether it be this year to last year or actual to plan, as well as to reassemble the data and analyze it from one department to another.  Each department needs to maintain their own way of analyzing data, but also be able to bring their plans and results together in a consistent, uniform way.

The more we talked, the more the client’s managers got back inside their skins. And they realized how important having a single version of the truth, through BI tools and executive analytics, would be to planning and reconciling results-day-for-day, week-to-week, and throughout the year.

Brian Barry is a Senior Consultant with F. Curtis Barry & Company, a multichannel operations and fulfillment consulting firm with expertise in multichannel systems, warehouse, call center, inventory, and benchmarking; learn more online at: http://www.fcbco.com.

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Jingle Bells or Blues? Q4 2008 Retail Results

by Curt Barry, President, F. Curtis Barry & Company on January 16, 2009

Like many of you, we’ve spent the past two weeks talking with our clients about the results of Fall/Holiday 2008. Here is what we are hearing, along with what our clients think the outlook for 2009 is and some things you can do immediately to further reduce expenses.

Holiday sales for retail and direct industries.  After all the media flap about the weak Holiday season as it progressed, no one can be surprised that it ranks as one of the worst Holiday seasons in the last 30 years. In their September 2008 Holiday forecast, National Retail Federation (NRF) estimated sales would be up 1% to 3% over last year. At the NRF event this week, we heard estimates that many retailers will finish 5% to 8% below the previous year, which is obviously a disaster. This will lead to a record number of small and large businesses exiting the retail and direct space. In the past 6 months there have already been a record number of retail store closings from bankruptcies.

Catalog has a broken business model.  We feel there are two major issues that have changed the business model for cataloging:

  • Prospecting has been on a 10-year decline in response rates. Renting and exchanging lists as a prospecting practice has totally been destroyed by the co-op databases. Co-ops overall are the major game in town for prospecting, but many of the senior management we talk to are concerned that co-op response rates are not as strong as they were. Is there over-saturation of mailings by co-op users, along with the bombardment of e-mail campaigns? 
  • Continual increase in postage costs. As a result of the postal reform of the last few years, USPS has a mandate to make money and the ability to almost automatically increase postal rates annually. Many of our clients had postage increases of 20% to 24%. At one client we worked with last week, their postage costs are now 33% of the total cost to create and mail catalogs.

Highly promotional offers and high use of free shipping.  We have just completed an in-depth study of free shipping practices during Fall/Holiday 2008. (Call me to discuss the results. The study is featured in February’s Multichannel Merchant magazine.) Clearly, this Holiday season was characterized by highly promotional pricing and free shipping. A number of clients interviewed mentioned they got poor results to e-mail promotions unless they offered a strong promotional incentive such as free shipping.

Suffice it to say that consumers were opportunistic with their purchases, looking for true bargains at the retailer’s expense.

What businesses did well?  Customers pulled back on discretionary spending and reduced gift-giving this past season. There were some discounters, promotionally priced and value priced businesses that did well. Two we have all heard about in the press are Wal-Mart and Amazon. We have one large client that is off price/value priced, and had order increases over 40%. Obviously, off-priced businesses that sell overstocks will have great selection to choose from and should continue to see strong sales. 

A number of our business-to-business catalog clients saw a slowing of sales for the first time starting in October, and they finished 2% to 7% off plan. 

Then we have a surprise: A number of smaller e-commerce pure plays we have talked to seem to have had major sales percentage growth. My guess is that they are truly niche businesses with unique products, whose customers cannot find the same or equivalent product elsewhere. Also, in a small business it’s easy to see double-digit growth, because the “last year” number is small. But not to take anything away from them, they are not significantly off plan. And because they are not print catalog or list prospecting oriented, they aren’t suffering from the issues we discussed earlier.

However, many of our gift, fashion apparel and general merchandise clients finished 10% to 25% below plan, which meant many ended below 2007. Plans in even the most aggressive companies may have only been up 5% to 10% over 2007. Circulation plans had been cut because of the postage increases. 

Outlook for 2009.  The industry leaders we work with-retail and direct companies, venture capital and finance people-expect the downturn to get worse in the first half of 2009 and last 12 to 18 months longer. One retail client with over 500 stores told me at NRF that they are planning, from a financial perspective, that sales for the next two years will be down. 

Given the seriousness of the downturn, our major challenge is how to plan 2009 in terms of number of products and pages circulated. We all know that if we reduce pages and products to reduce costs, we decrease revenue further and really shoot ourselves in the foot.

For many businesses, it will be a time of trying to survive.

Another big worry many companies will have is the lack of growth in the 12-month buyer files. Many companies will now have had two Holidays with the 12-month buyer count smaller than 2006. 

The downturn, as we all know, is worldwide. We are hearing from clients who have been in the markets here and overseas recently that many of their smaller resources are in trouble and will probably close. And an even bigger issue is that there does not seem to be a lot of new product being offered. 

Reducing Expenses. There are many resources on our website (www.fcbco.com), both in the articles and blog, that can help you to reduce expenses. Also, there is an article entitled “70+ Cost Reduction and Productivity Improvement Ideas” which is a good thought jogger for cost reduction and efficiency improvement.

Here are some current projects for which F. Curtis Barry & Company is engaged by clients looking to reduce expenses:

  1. Perform an assessment of how to further reduce call center and fulfillment costs
  2. Determine whether inbound and outbound shipping costs can be further re-negotiated
  3. Do an inventory assessment to determine how to improve inventory forecasting and management strategies
  4. Look at whether outsourcing call center and/or fulfillment can reduce costs

Feel free to call me today to talk through any or all of these ideas.

These are tough times for sure. But it’s also in this time of uncertainty that the smart and well-financed companies will pick up market share.

- Curt Barry, 804-740-8743

Curt Barry is the President of F. Curtis Barry & Company, a multichannel operations and fulfillment consulting firm with expertise in multichannel systems, warehouse, call center, inventory, and benchmarking; learn more online at: http://www.fcbco.com.

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As companies grow in size and complexity, providing actionable, analytical information to senior management has become increasingly difficult. No one system provides more than 10% of the data senior management needs. Key data such as plans and history often exist in spreadsheets outside the information systems. Systems such as the telephone phone switches (ACD) have valuable productivity and service data, but management usually doesn’t have access to it. Reports from commercial systems by software companies often leave the user wanting a lot more.

Today’s Biggest Business Information Problem

Multichannel companies not only have multiple channels for dealing with customers; by their very nature, these companies often have multiple systems, with numerous-and differing-occurrences of key data and metrics. Depending on the database design and the age of the information systems, there may even be multiple occurrences of key data within a single system. This problem is actually worse in companies with large scale multichannel “systems”-because in reality, these are multiple individual applications. Many companies have grown up selecting best-of-breed systems, and since no one vendor in the marketplace today can provide more than two of the best-of-breed systems needed, these have disparate databases and designs. With separate systems for order management, fulfillment, call center ACD switches, marketing, product information, inventory, finance and e-commerce, we have created silos of information across the enterprise. ERP system proponents may say, “this is what we have been trying to tell you for years,” but the reality is that most ERP systems available to the direct marketplace don’t provide specialized direct, retail or warehouse management functions that are as good as best-of-breed.

In moderate to large companies the multichannel transaction systems consist of a significant number of information systems and databases.  Here are some typical examples:

  • Catalog/e-commerce order management, marketing and merchandising system (OMS)
  • Warehouse management system (WMS) if not part of the OMS
  • Telephone switch software (ACD)
  • Financial applications (accounts payable, accounts receivable, general ledger, etc.)
  • Specialized standalone merchandise planning and forecasting system
  • POS and retail merchandising system for brick and mortar stores
  • E-commerce site and web analytics systems
  • Internally developed systems using Access or other small data bases
  • And there are hundreds to thousands of spreadsheets (including sales plans and history) extracting more tailored info for management

These best-of-breed systems are not designed with the same “look and feel” or navigation, and their database structures can span 25 years of systems development with Oracle, DB2, Access, COBOL, Java, C++ and .net. Management often has to get its information by having business analysts or department managers pulling data from these disparate “silos” into spreadsheets, Access databases or by using OLAP tools-and that’s a big problem. There are delays in getting the data, because much of it cannot be online, real time; there is considerable cost in massaging the data; a continual need to keep it updated; inevitable manual errors; and lack of the ability to add any sophisticated analysis to it. Perhaps worst of all, data often doesn’t reconcile from one information system to another, and therefore there isn’t a “single version of the truth.”  On which version of the data should you base your decisions?

There Is A Solution

Business intelligence software and services now exist which can open up systems and standardize data across systems in the enterprise, opening up tremendous possibilities that many companies have never before experienced. Rather than just extracting data, management at various levels can set up actionable Key Performance Indicator (KPI) alerts that act as a dashboard for the business. Analysis and queries using the same detailed data up and down the organization bring uniformity to the analytical and reporting process.

The benefits? For the first time, management has complete access to data across all systems in the enterprise. Objectives and KPIs can be set up to sharpen management decision making, and to keep senior management informed about the results on a real-time basis as shown in Figure 1:  Solving Data Problems With BI Solutions.

Getting Your Personal Dashboard of KPIs and Analytics

Think for a minute, what data do you want to gain access to across your business?  What information do you, as a member of senior management, need to run the business?  Figure 2: Defining Your Personal Dashboard and Analytics shows how a company president in one of our client companies interpreted what she wanted, seeing what the benefits and data could be. When you look at this menu, you can see that much of what is included isn’t found in any one information system-and a number of these analyses and KPIs are created by including data mixed and matched between information systems.

Business intelligence systems with KPI dashboard alerts are a reality today.

Using Inventory Data Across the Enterprise

To go into more depth, Figure 3: Using Inventory Data Across the Enterprise shows how various managers can derive benefit from business intelligence systems tailored to inventory management. Inventory is the largest balance sheet asset in most businesses.  Its effective management largely determines your level of customer service and profits. Suppose management had an ability not currently available to them: the ability to easily analyze some key inventory conditions.  Here are a few examples:

  • Inventory aging. Age of inventory across the business and by product/SKU for various inventory statuses (active, inactive, future and return to vendor) by warehouse and by inventory control manager. One of our clients found that 30% of their inventory was older than 12 months. Having access to this view allows top management to continually stay on top of products that are not selling.  The merchants can schedule to liquidate overstocks and slow-selling merchandise regularly.
  • Inventory carrying costs. Costs of maintaining inventory in the company’s warehouse, including rent, utilities, insurance, taxes, fulfillment labor costs and the opportunity cost of having capital tied up. While inventory control applications have the on-hand quantity and dollars, financial management may want to develop a fully burdened cost for the inventory to more accurately reflect performance.
  • Gross margin return on investment (GMROI). By category, product and inventory control manager. GMROI analyzes a firm’s ability to turn inventory into cash above the cost of the inventory. It is calculated by dividing the gross margin by the average inventory cost. Senior management wants to judge the firm’s ability to turn inventory into cash.
  • Customer service measured with fill rates. Initial item and initial customer order fill rate analysis, and final item and final customer order fill rates by category and product. Many companies measure back orders daily, but they don’t measure how well the customer is being serviced-in other words what percent of orders are shipped complete. We find the initial customer order fill rate to be 10 points lower than the line item fill rate in many businesses. For example, a fashion apparel business may have a difficult time achieving an initial order fill rate above 70% because of the newness of the style and the inability to reorder. However, a home décor business can achieve an order fill rate of 85% or higher.
  • Back order cost analysis. To identify the total cost of being out of stock, both by product and by categories that are creating the biggest issues and expenses. Cost of back orders takes into account the total back order history by product for costs such as call center (“Where is my back order?”), second order picks and packing material, loss of shipping and processing revenue, etc. Most companies report back orders daily. There are few systems that keep track of the cumulative back order costs by product throughout the year.  What our studies in hundreds of companies show is that back ordered merchandise costs $7 to $12 for each backordered unit of product.

Return On Investment (ROI)

There are great benefits to the organization when data can be shared across the enterprise and used for department analysis. We believe that these business intelligence applications will provide a positive ROI in 12 to 18 months, by enabling:

  • In the inventory control areas, you will be able to optimize inventory levels for the first time, taking into account initial order fill rates (service levels), inventory and planned turnover objectives.
  • In merchandising, you can expect to develop merchandise analysis by channel and across the enterprise to better understand how your multichannel business sells product. Vendor scorecards combine purchasing, demand and sales history, and receipt processing data.
  • The ability to put together distribution center productivity and service level metrics in receiving, checking, picking, packing and shipping. These include cost per order and service levels in departments such as receiving and returns processing.
  • Similar productivity data will be at your fingertips from the call center, with service levels for call abandonment rate, length of call, calls in queue, etc. as well as cost per transaction, cost per call and contacts per order.
  • One of the biggest benefits to management is to get back in touch with the business from an analytical perspective. KPIs can easily be set up and changed to monitor performance in your areas of responsibility.

Summary

What’s the cost of not having timely and accurate information to manage and control your business? There is an old industrial engineering axiom that says, “You can’t improve something you haven’t measured.” Worse, even if you have measured it, you still can’t improve something if you can’t get accurate readings, or if you have multiple measurements that don’t agree. With business intelligence systems, the ability to have instant access to all the most important data needed to make decisions is now a reality.

Figure 1:  Solving Data Problems With BI Solutions

The following are the problems that moderate to large companies have with silos of information throughout the enterprise and how BI can solve them issues.

Problem BI Solutions
Separate systems create information silos Standardized & normalized data base opens up applications across the enterprise
Multiple occurrences of same data(e.g. on hand in multiple systems and often within one system)”Don’t have a single version of the truth”. During the development of templates and KPIs each data field will be reviewed versus the other occurrences in the same and multiple systems.  Decisions are made of which data elements to use in the applications.
Reports and data but not actionable information. Management isn’t generally a user of the major information systems Management sets KPI alerts and analytics tailored to their responsibilities and concerns.
Any one system may only have 10% of the data required by top management BI opens up all information systems to management analysis
Abbreviated and programmer defined data field names in very complex flat files and data bases Standardized data base has redefined and understandable field and data base names for easy use  by non-programmers
Have to use programmers to get at the data.  Have to map hundreds of files and tables to be able to get at the data System uses standardized queries and KPI alerts
   
Data not KPIs Department and senior management can set standardized KPI alerts to notify when performance is not on plan or outside a pre-defined KPI range.
Key data may still not be available such as plans and history which are critical to management Business intelligence systems make all data sources regardless of technology or sophistication available
Everyone not on the “same page” with very different systems, reports and processes All KPI alerts, queries and drill downs into the detail data all use the same data

Figure 2:  Defining Your Personal Dashboard and Analytics

As the President, if you could select KPIs and metrics from various business and information systems, what would your Executive Dashboard include?  Many of these data feeds from the main transaction systems can be on-line, real time or batch.

Data                                          Source                                 KPIs and Benefits

Demand to Net Sales

  • Gross demand, cancellations, returns
  • Net sales against plan
  • Channel demand
Order management, retail merchandising KPI alert when out of the expected range; summarized and drill down on demand, returns and sales; review by channel performance
Fulfillment

  • Orders shipped yesterday
  • % orders shipped complete
  • “Trouble” receipts in warehouse
  • Carryover work from yesterday
Order management or warehouse management systems Number of orders and dollars shipped actual to plan; to understand warehouse work load carryover; what “trouble” receipts need buyers attention;
Call Center

  • Abandonment rates
  • Inquiries and complaints
  • Service level metrics
ACD systems, order management systems KPIs for service levels; summarized reasons for inquiries and complaints
Marketing

  • Media results
  • Campaign results
  • Customer satisfaction surveys
  • Outbound selling by rep
Order management or other marketing systems Individual results by media, campaign; results of on-line and call center surveys about customer satisfaction; performance of outbound salespersons
Merchandising/Inventory Control

  • Back order analysis
  • Inventory ageing
  • Slow sellers

(candidates to liquidate)

  • Fast sellers (POs needed)
Order management Analyze cost of back orders to company profits; find optimal inventory levels to achieve high initial customer order fill rates with minimal overstocks; identify sales trends to take action on reorders and liquidation earlier
E-Commerce

  • Traffic analysis of visitors and page views
  • E-mail performance
  • Cart abandonment rate
Web site or web analytics tools Learn more about response in fastest growing channel
Finance

  • Net cash flow
  • Line of credit balances
  • Aged A-P
  • Aged A-R
Order management and finance systems With the CFO have the ability to better project and understand cash flow needs

Curt Barry is the President of F. Curtis Barry & Company, a multichannel operations and fulfillment consulting firm with expertise in multichannel systems, warehouse, call center, inventory, and benchmarking; learn more online at: http://www.fcbco.com.

About Manage Metrix

Manage Metrix is a business intelligence system with KPI alerts and dashboard capabilities that can be easily customized for each user.  In addition, managers can use pre-built retail and direct analytical templates and KPIs or clients can customize their own unique analysis.  Senior management has drill down capabilities into the same detail data as the department management assuring everyone is using “the same version of the truth”.  Another unique approach offered is that F. Curtis Barry & Company works with the client management to set appropriate KPIs and action plans for improvement.  Modules have functionality for inventory management, merchandising, marketing, call center, fulfillment, retail merchandising and finance which shares data across the enterprise.  The product is co-developed by Taurus Software and F. Curtis Barry & Company.

About Taurus Software

Taurus Software has been making data liquid since 1987. Taurus offers an entire range of solutions that incorporate products such as DataBridger-a robust open platform data foundation creation tool, and application specific data models such as Ecomedate for Ecometry customers and Analysis Suite-a powerful analytical and reporting toolset. Taurus is a member of the HPe3000 Transition Partners Program and has technology partnerships with DirectTech, Quest Software, Lund Performance Solutions, Managed Business Solutions, Escalate Retail, Orbit Software, Pathway Pacific, DST Health Solutions and Acumium. To learn more about Taurus Software, visit www.taurus.com or call 650-482-2022 x1.

About F. Curtis Barry & Company

F. Curtis Barry & Company is a consultancy specializing in multichannel operations and fulfillment for catalog, e-commerce, and retail businesses.  F. Curtis Barry & Company offer clients expertise in business process and order management systems, inventory management systems, warehouse management systems; warehousing and distribution; contact center services; inventory management and forecasting solutions; and strategic, financial, and operational planning for all business channels. To learn more about F. Curtis Barry & Company, visit www.fcbco.com or call 804-740-8743.

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Collaboration Creates Solutions for Multi-Channel Retailers

by Brian Barry, Senior Consultant, F. Curtis Barry & Company on January 9, 2009

The introduction of ManageMetrix, a Business Intelligence Solution for Multi-Channel Retailers, is scheduled to occur at the 2009 National Retail Federation Big Show in New York.Taurus Software and F. Curtis Barry & Co. have partnered to create a robust & revolutionary business intelligence solution for the retail market. We look forward to seeing you at NRF Booth #337 for the introduction of Manage Metrix.

January 12th and 13th, 2009
Jacob K. Javits Convention Center, New York City
Dont miss this event where you will learn “The difference between information and intelligence”.

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